Wednesday, December 16, 2009

New Statistical Areas Formed in Central Texas

Regions in Central Texas are getting a makeover courtesy of the federal Office of Management and Budget (OMB). OMB has recognized Burnet County as having the criteria necessary to form a Micropolitan Statistical Area, which is defined as having at least one urban cluster of at least 10,000 but less than 50,000 population, plus adjacent territory with a high degree of social and economic integration. This new area, called the Marble Falls Micropolitan Statistical Area, but encompassing all of Burnet County, will also result in a new Austin- Round Rock- Marble Falls Combined Statistical Area, allowing data users to analyze the entire six-county region, including the existing five-county Austin metro area and the new Marble Falls area.

OMB now lists 374 metropolitan and 576 micropolitan areas in the US with the only other new region added being Weatherford, OK. These areas are used as a basis to compare regions across the country. Imagine trying to compare Austin and Raleigh based solely on what’s inside the Austin and Raleigh city limits. Both cities have a number of surrounding communities and municipalities providing economic contributions that need to be considered in the analysis. Having these areas defined, makes it a lot easier to gather data to do such a comparison. Now, Marble Falls and Burnet County will be “on the list” of small urban areas that researchers and companies can select for comparison.

The criteria used in forming a statistical area are both population and density. There needs to be at least 10,000 but less than 50,000 people within an urban area to warrant formation of a micropolitan area, and 50,000 or more for a metropolitan area. Boundaries are set using counties as the building blocks, so the smallest that a statistical area could be is one county called the central county. If surrounding counties have sufficient economic ties, at least 25% of the county’s employed residents commuting to the central county, then those counties would also be included in that statistical area.

For Burnet County, qualifying to be its own micropolitan area shows that it is growing and still somewhat independent of the Austin metro region. However, because there are clear ties between the two areas, OMB also formed the Austin-Round Rock-Marble Falls Combined Statistical Area, joining a list of 127 others.

OMB is also renaming the five-county metro region to the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos Metropolitan Statistical Area. For those keeping track, the name prior to 2000 was originally Austin-San Marcos, and later changed to Austin-Round Rock when Round Rock’s population surpassed San Marcos. Because San Marcos has exceeded 50,000, it was again named as a principal city in the statistical area. Despite all the name changing, the boundary is still the same five counties: Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis, and Williamson.

With the 2010 Census around the corner, these will likely be the regional statistical areas that are used to release the new data. Only time and commuting patterns will determine if Burnet County remains a separate micropolitan area or if it is eventually added to the metropolitan area.

Chris Ramser

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

CAPCOG 2009 State of the Region Available Now

We delivered our annual State of the Region presentation today at CAPCOG’s membership meeting. The presentation looked back at our predictions for 2009 and provided some basic information on what’s expected in 2010 in terms of population and job growth in CAPCOG’s counties. Download a PDF copy of the presentation here.

You can also download a copy in the Information Clearinghouse section of the CAPCOG website. Look under Publications and scroll down to State of the Region.

Since we don’t publish a report to go along with the presentation, we’d be glad to schedule a time to visit your community or organization to talk about this information. We’ll accommodate as many requests as we can. Brian Kelsey

Monday, December 7, 2009

2009 State of the Region

We'll be doing our annual State of the Region presentation at our general assembly meeting on Wednesday. We'll post the slides here after the meeting.

Friday, December 4, 2009

Community Visioning

This week we participated in a webinar by the Center for Rural Entrepreneurship focused on a community visioning process they have been working on in two beta communities: Brookfield Missouri and Garden County, Nebraska both of which have been struggling with depopulation over the past couple of decades.

The community visioning process included looking at standard metrics like income, sales, students, tax base, workers, and health care patients. The focus was to look at a possible alternate scenario to the trend and to develop a strategy based on the alternate scenario.

The scenario they came up with was to increase youth attractions by 10% and increase business development by 10%. Both communities showed signs of stabilization or growth in the outward years of the 45 year projections.

Data for these reports were provided by Headwaters Economics, which if you haven't checked out their site, we encourage you to do so. They have some pretty extensive profiles for every county in the country and can even generate aggregate county profiles and profiles for cities using a free piece of software. Check out this tool here.

Chris Ramser